Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.986151 2.083268 2.186505 2.305139 2.438638 2.585376 2.760518
2025-07-20 1.909716 2.040432 2.185327 2.360002 2.567984 2.812056 3.127327
2025-07-27 1.828876 1.978286 2.148688 2.361219 2.625155 2.951329 3.401923
2025-08-03 1.766501 1.929585 2.119900 2.364067 2.678511 3.085740 3.686047
2025-08-10 1.685335 1.852140 2.049622 2.307628 2.647982 3.103199 3.806643
2025-08-17 1.635678 1.808945 2.017196 2.294599 2.670294 3.191410 4.043064
2025-08-24 1.592988 1.771438 1.988781 2.283358 2.692044 3.278816 4.292962
2025-08-31 1.555602 1.738306 1.963479 2.273508 2.713354 3.366077 4.559823
2025-09-07 1.531962 1.720915 1.956807 2.287295 2.768174 3.509913 4.965121
2025-09-14 1.480358 1.666001 1.898811 2.227002 2.708915 3.462951 4.983060
2025-09-21 1.452940 1.640920 1.878722 2.218003 2.725238 3.542037 5.285007
2025-09-28 1.415640 1.601853 1.838541 2.178468 2.691780 3.531983 5.386407
2025-10-05 1.404137 1.596526 1.844027 2.205561 2.765956 3.724376 6.053462
2025-10-12 1.401814 1.602843 1.865128 2.256073 2.881756 4.013773 7.170942
2025-10-19 1.382619 1.586088 1.853768 2.257605 2.916720 4.152933 7.957762
2025-10-26 1.365089 1.570898 1.843826 2.260446 2.953760 4.302952 8.945405
2025-11-02 1.330801 1.532309 1.799920 2.209302 2.893016 4.232792 8.947243
2025-11-09 1.311000 1.512730 1.782099 2.197528 2.900887 4.316731 9.776873
2025-11-16 1.292742 1.494729 1.765865 2.187340 2.910623 4.406733 10.794499
2025-11-23 1.275787 1.478043 1.750926 2.178392 2.921768 4.502298 12.067023
2025-11-30 1.266341 1.471266 1.749782 2.190976 2.973412 4.708126 14.881963
2025-12-07 1.236927 1.436501 1.707456 2.135976 2.893746 4.563294 14.036028
2025-12-14 1.222606 1.422231 1.694424 2.127759 2.903092 4.655852 16.138351